Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000150 0.000166 0.000183 0.000203 0.000225 0.000249 0.000278
2025-05-18 0.000119 0.000141 0.000168 0.000201 0.000241 0.000289 0.000352
2025-05-25 0.000100 0.000126 0.000157 0.000199 0.000255 0.000325 0.000423
2025-06-01 0.000087 0.000113 0.000148 0.000197 0.000264 0.000355 0.000490
2025-06-08 0.000075 0.000102 0.000138 0.000190 0.000266 0.000374 0.000541
2025-06-15 0.000069 0.000096 0.000134 0.000192 0.000280 0.000410 0.000623
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000092 0.000133 0.000196 0.000296 0.000451 0.000717
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000086 0.000126 0.000192 0.000299 0.000471 0.000780
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000078 0.000118 0.000184 0.000294 0.000478 0.000820
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000075 0.000115 0.000185 0.000304 0.000510 0.000908
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.000073 0.000114 0.000187 0.000318 0.000549 0.001016
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000069 0.000110 0.000185 0.000322 0.000572 0.001095
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000066 0.000108 0.000186 0.000333 0.000611 0.001215
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000063 0.000105 0.000185 0.000340 0.000643 0.001327
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000060 0.000102 0.000184 0.000347 0.000676 0.001449
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000182 0.000351 0.000704 0.001565
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000053 0.000094 0.000175 0.000346 0.000713 0.001635
2025-09-07 0.000029 0.000052 0.000093 0.000177 0.000360 0.000762 0.001814
2025-09-14 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000181 0.000377 0.000822 0.002033
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000048 0.000089 0.000177 0.000377 0.000843 0.002151
2025-09-28 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000170 0.000367 0.000839 0.002201
2025-10-05 0.000023 0.000044 0.000083 0.000171 0.000377 0.000884 0.002400
2025-10-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000173 0.000391 0.000943 0.002655